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国家自然科学基金(50908050)

作品数:2 被引量:24H指数:2
相关作者:刘攀蒋璇王炜徐铖铖更多>>
相关机构:东南大学更多>>
发文基金:国家自然科学基金江苏省普通高校研究生科研创新计划项目国家重点基础研究发展计划更多>>
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基于判别分析的高速公路交通安全实时评价指标被引量:22
2012年
为了实时评价交通流变化对高速公路交通事故风险的影响,利用高精度交通流数据建立了高速公路交通安全实时评价指标.提取了美国加州I-880 N高速公路上采集间隔为30 s的实时交通流数据和事故数据,采用Fisher判别分析方法建立交通流参数的线性组合,以判别危险交通流状态.该线性组合被定义为高速公路交通安全实时评价指标,当该指标小于0时,代表危险交通流状态,有发生交通事故的风险;当该指标大于0时,代表正常交通流状态,没有发生交通事故的风险.采用条件logistic回归模型进一步研究了该指标与交通事故风险之间的定量关系.研究结果表明,该指标预测事故的精度为65.7%.另外,该指标每减小1个单位,交通事故风险将提高1.8倍.
徐铖铖刘攀王炜蒋璇
关键词:高速公路交通安全FISHER判别分析交通事故
Effects of behavioral characteristics of taxi drivers on safety and capacity of signalized intersections被引量:2
2014年
Comparative analyses were conducted to compare the effects of the behavioral characteristics of the drivers of taxis and private cars on the capacity and safety of signalized intersections. Data were collected at sixteen signalized intersections in the Nanjing area in China. The risk-taking behaviors of the drivers of taxis and private cars were compared. The results suggest that 19.9% of taxi drivers have committed at least one of the identified risky behaviors, which is 2.37 times as high as that of the drivers of private cars(8.4%). The traffic conflicts technique was used to estimate the safety effects of taxis and private cars. The overall conflict rate for taxis is 21.4% higher than that for private cars, implying that taxis are more likely to be involved in conflicts. Almost all of the identified traffic conflicts can be attributed to certain levels of risk-taking behaviors committed by either taxi drivers or the drivers of private cars, and taxi drivers are more likely to be at fault in a conflict. Failure to yield to right-of-way and improper lane change is the leading causes of the conflicts in which taxis are at-fault. The research team further studied the effects of taxis on the queue discharge characteristics at signalized intersections. The results show that the presence of taxis significantly reduces both start-up lost time and saturation headways. The effects of taxis on saturation flow rates are dependent on the proportion of taxis in the discharge flow, and the saturation flow rates increase with the increase in the proportion of taxis. The adjustment factors for various proportions of taxis for different turning movements are then calculated to quantitatively evaluate the effects of taxis on the capacity of signalized intersections.
徐铖铖刘攀王炜蒋璇陈昱光
关键词:TAXISAFETY
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